By goal
What moves biomarkers — and does it matter?
Claims where a laboratory marker was the measured outcome. Read these differently from the other goals: a biomarker change is a stand-in, not a health benefit. Raising NAD+ in blood is real and repeatable — whether it does anything for you is a separate, mostly untested claim. Every entry below carries that caveat.
Where the human evidence supports the claim
Graded strong or moderate — replicated human research points the same way.
Unsettled: early, mixed, animal-only or too thin to judge
This is most of the field. Interesting is not the same as demonstrated.
- Nicotinamide mononucleotide (NMN)EarlySurrogate biomarker
Raises NAD+ levels in blood
Human trials have measured increases in blood NAD+ concentration following oral NMN. This is the best-supported claim about NMN — and it is a claim about a laboratory measurement, not about health.
- Calorie restrictionEarlySurrogate biomarker
Improves cardiometabolic risk factors in healthy non-obese adults
CALERIE randomised 218 healthy non-obese adults to around 25% intended calorie restriction or usual diet for two years. Achieved restriction averaged about 12%, and multiple cardiometabolic risk factors improved.
- GLP-1 receptor agonistsEarlySurrogate biomarker
Produces substantial weight loss in adults with obesity
STEP 1 randomised 1,961 adults with obesity to weekly semaglutide or placebo alongside lifestyle support: roughly 15% average body-weight loss versus 2.4% on placebo at 68 weeks. The wider STEP programme repeated the pattern. Body weight is recorded here as a surrogate — the health value of drug-induced weight loss depends on what happens to composition, and to the weight after discontinuation.
- Urolithin AEarlySurrogate biomarker
Improves biomarkers of mitochondrial health
The first-in-human randomised study found urolithin A safe and reported a molecular signature of improved mitochondrial and cellular health in muscle tissue. This is the claim the product is actually built on — a biomarker change, upstream of any demonstrated benefit.
- NAD+ (direct supplementation)EarlySurrogate biomarker
Intravenous NAD+ increases NAD+ availability in the body
An 11-person pilot study infused NAD+ over six hours and tracked the plasma and urine metabolome, showing the molecule is taken up and metabolised — with most of the change appearing only after two hours. That is a pharmacokinetic observation, several steps removed from any benefit.
- BerberineEarlySurrogate biomarker
Improves blood glucose and lipid markers in people with metabolic dysfunction
A 2025 systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised trials found berberine reduced triglycerides, fasting glucose, waist circumference and LDL cholesterol versus control, echoing the small pilot trials in type 2 diabetes that started the field. Real, modest, marker-level effects — in metabolically unwell populations, not healthy optimisers.
- CurcuminEarlySurrogate biomarker
Lowers C-reactive protein
A meta-analysis of randomised trials using bioavailability-enhanced curcuminoid preparations found reduced circulating C-reactive protein. A marker moved is a marker moved: no outcome trial has tested whether curcumin's CRP effect translates into less disease.
- Cold exposureEarlySurrogate biomarker
Activates brown fat and increases cold-induced thermogenesis
Young men who winter-swim routinely showed different brown-fat thermoregulation and higher cold-induced heat production than matched controls. Solid physiology from a small comparative study — a measured bodily response, not a demonstrated health benefit.
- RapamycinMixedSurrogate biomarker
Improves immune function in older adults at low doses
A 2014 trial found low-dose mTOR inhibition improved influenza vaccine response in older adults, and a 2018 follow-up reported fewer infections. But the subsequent phase 3 programme failed to confirm clinical benefit, and development was halted.
- GHK-CuPreclinicalSurrogate biomarker
Regenerates ageing skin
The support here is mechanistic: GHK-Cu resets expression of genes involved in tissue remodelling in laboratory models, which is why it earned its place in cosmetic formulations. Controlled human trials demonstrating visible or measured skin outcomes are lacking — the claim currently lives on biology, not on people.
- EpithalonPreclinicalSurrogate biomarker
Lengthens telomeres
In human cell lines, recent work reports telomere lengthening via telomerase upregulation. That is a laboratory observation twice removed from a health benefit: no human trial has measured telomeres after epithalon, and telomere length itself is a contested marker of ageing.
- Nicotinamide mononucleotide (NMN)InsufficientSurrogate biomarker
Improves blood pressure
A meta-analysis has examined NMN's effect on blood pressure across the available randomised trials.
- BerberineInsufficientSurrogate biomarker
Matches GLP-1 drugs for weight loss
No trial supports the comparison. Berberine's measured effects on weight-adjacent markers are centimetres of waist circumference and fractions of a BMI point; semaglutide's flagship trial produced roughly 15% body-weight loss. The nickname is the entire evidence base.
Where well-conducted research goes against the claim
Knowing what does not work is as valuable as knowing what does.
Take this further
Build a personal report from what you actually take, or browse a different goal.